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PageGroup gross revenue down 12.8% in Q1 as market slows

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April 15, 2024

PageGroup plc introduced that gross revenue fell 12.8% to £219.7 million (US$277.8 million) on a continuing forex foundation. The slowdown PageGroup noticed on the finish of the fourth quarter of 2023 continued into first quarter, with some deterioration skilled, significantly inside Continental Europe.

Buying and selling circumstances in Asia, the UK and the US noticed no enchancment, with low ranges of shopper and candidate confidence persevering with to delay time to rent, significantly in everlasting recruitment.

“Total, exercise ranges stay sturdy. Nevertheless, we skilled a slight deterioration in job circulate in direction of the top of the quarter,” PageGroup CEO Nicholas Kirk stated. “Conversion of ultimate interviews to accepted provides continues to be essentially the most vital problem, as candidate and shopper sentiment stays subdued, reflecting the final macroeconomic uncertainty in most of our markets. Everlasting recruitment was extra impacted than momentary throughout all of our markets as purchasers proceed to hunt extra versatile choices.”

PageGroup added that purchasers have develop into extra threat averse as their recruitment budgets have tightened, which has slowed the recruitment course of. Though wage ranges stay sturdy, provides made to candidates weren’t as elevated as they had been in 2022 and early 2023.

In the case of the group’s perm/temp combine, total gross revenue from everlasting recruitment decreased 18.6% in reported charges and 14.9% in fixed forex. Gross revenue from momentary recruitment decreased 9.9% in reported charges and 6.7% in fixed forex. This resulted in a ratio of everlasting to momentary recruitment gross revenue of 73:27 (Q1 2023: 74:26).

Group fee-earner headcount lowered by 100 (-1.7%) throughout Q1, which was slower than the reductions made in 2023. The group had already shed 224, or 3.7%, of its fee-earning roles and 57 back-office jobs within the last quarter 2023. Total, the group now has 5,751 payment earners and a complete headcount of seven,778.

<HEADINE 2>Geographical evaluation (in fixed forex)

In Europe, Center East and Africa, gross revenue declined 12.7% to £123.3 million. The more durable circumstances PageGroup noticed on the finish of 2023 continued into the primary quarter of this 12 months. Reflecting this uncertainty, momentary recruitment was extra resilient than everlasting.

Gross revenue in France declined 16% for the quarter, with comparable performances in each Michael Web page and Web page Personnel. This was a marked slowdown from the decline of 5% within the fourth quarter of 2023.

Germany declined 16%, in comparison with a lower of 6% within the fourth quarter of 2023. Harder circumstances had been skilled in everlasting recruitment, down 23%, whereas the group’s expertise targeted interim enterprise was extra resilient, down 8%. The corporate additionally lowered its fee-earner headcount within the first quarter by 46.

Within the Americas, PageGroup delivered gross revenue of £37.3 million (US$47.2 million), down 5.5% 12 months over 12 months. Within the US, group gross revenue declined 15%, an enchancment on the fourth quarter of 2023, though this was due partially to a softer comparator. The circumstances the group noticed on the finish of 2023 continued into first quarter of this 12 months, with uncertainty round market circumstances affecting each candidate and shopper confidence, significantly inside accounting and monetary providers.

In Latin America, gross revenue grew 9%, regardless of macroeconomic uncertainty throughout the area. This was additionally partially on account of hyperinflation in Argentina following the election. Excluding Argentina, the area declined 4%. Mexico, the group’s largest nation within the area, was down 12%, in comparison with a lower of 6% within the fourth quarter of 2023. Brazil was up 10%; nevertheless, elsewhere in Latin America, PageGroup’s remaining nations declined 6% collectively. Price-earner headcount within the area elevated by 37.

In Asia Pacific, gross revenue for the primary quarter was down 15.7% towards 2023. Better China declined 15%, with Mainland China down 19% and Hong Kong down 12% for the quarter. This was a worsening from the efficiency within the fourth quarter of 2023 on account of an extra discount in headcount of roughly 30 within the first quarter. 

Southeast Asia gross revenue declined 3% with Singapore returning to progress within the first quarter. India reported a file first quarter, up 13%. Japan skilled more durable circumstances throughout the quarter, declining 26%. Australia declined 32% with powerful circumstances in all states. The group’s fee-earner headcount within the area decreased by 65, primarily in Australia and Better China.

Within the UK, Q1 gross revenue declined 19.2%. PageGroup continued to see purchasers deferring hiring selections and candidates cautious about accepting provides. Momentary recruitment (down 12%) was extra resilient than everlasting recruitment (down 22%). According to the tougher buying and selling circumstances, the group’s payment earner headcount lowered by 26 in first quarter and on the finish of the quarter was 17% decrease than a 12 months in the past.

Kirk stated, “Whereas we anticipate a interval of low confidence ranges, based mostly on our present outlook, we intend to carry fee-earner headcount broadly at current ranges to make sure we’re effectively positioned to benefit from alternatives as sentiment and confidence enhance. Now we have a extremely diversified and adaptable enterprise mannequin, a robust steadiness sheet and our value base is below steady evaluation and might be adjusted quickly to match market circumstances.”

Click on to enlarge.

Share value

Shares in PageGroup closed down 9.13% in London as we speak to £440.00 (US$548.99). They had been 12.44% under their 52-week excessive.

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